January 9th, 2013

* - Elephant of Life

no-moon again - time to consider quake possibilities

A coupla no-moons ago, I said there was an increased chance of Earthquakery near Portland, OR. It never happened. Instead, significant quakes have been hopscotching back and forth between Mexi-Cal, and BC/ Alaska. While this takes temp pressure off the Portland area, it only means that longer term pressure will continue to mount, and so a significant quake will prolly be happening there soon enough. "Predicting" quakes (probabilities) isn't so hard, and isn't so crazy. You just have to look at a few things. 1 - Where else are quakes occurring, and how does that relate to the areas of interest? 2 - Is there a no-moon or a full moon, (quakes often happen just before or after, usually after). 3 - Are there pressure changes, (especially a giant passing storm, esp. if it has released a lot of precip)? 4 - Are there Piezo-electric and/or UFOs in an area of interest. 5 - Is there erratic animal or social strife in an area of interest? 6 - What is happening on the sun, and from the sun??? PS - quakes (and sinkholes) also seem to be more likely during quick temperature changes, esp. warmings. Not to mention FRACKING, fcs.

I prefer the term, "Global Warming," to climate change, because it addresses what is really happening to the GLOBE, entire and per se. "Climate change," is either a local and/or subjective term, or it suggests that the entire globe is either warming, or is cooling, or whatever. People act like, "climate change," is the more scientific term, when in fact it was chosen in an effort to try to educate the great unwashed Republican masses, who have this tendency of thinking locally and acting LOCO. Anyway, it is assumed that, (mainly), the Earth's crust is warming, and so is also expanding. This seems logical. However, there are two other theories I maintain, which says that the near-core is also warming and expanding, which is far more dangerous - and far more likely to produce the strange piezo, geomagnetic, auditory, etc, phenomena we have been seeing. Depending on which theory is more true, the nature of crust behaviour will be different, and this will affect surface geologic activity, as well as predictability of such. But, it can safely be said that the crust is expanding. Melting icecaps also distort expanses of land in temperate/tropical zones negatively. Rising oceans push down land at the bottom of the oceans. These also play into the equations. It is not to be discounted that a sinking of the mid North American continent is within the realm of possibilities. However, the simplest trend to watch is the movement of the Western plate outwards towards the Pacific (Cascadian) subduction plate. If you see quakes hopscotching at either end, as described above, it suggests that the center of the continent is going to want to make a large push westward eventually. This is why large quakes are more likely for Portland or San Fran, as time goes by. HOWEVER. I seem to be witnessing some no-moon social strifes here in this area near Chicago at the moment. So, I am putting you on notice that perhaps a quake may be hitting around here soon, before the mid-continental move ever comes to be. They do say that the New Madrid fault is overdue for a massive quake, but I'm thinking maybe something a little more local, near our dear little sinkhole, with perhaps two bedrooms, and a balcony... (?)...

It's funny. People on the far-right are back to ridiculing Al Gore again, now that one computer simulation has notched down the forecast from continued warming in the next decade, to slight cooling. This is precisely why the term, "climate change," was applied, cuz these meat-heads just don't learn. No matter how much ice disappears at the Arctic, they point to the more stable Antarctic, which happens to be temporarilly insulated by a circle of winds. Even so, 1800 sq. miles of ice shelf simply fell into the ocean there a year or two ago. And now Australia is burning up, in temps of 120-130. "Heat waves happen! Floods happen!" - oh, like that flood that submerged practically the whole NE of the Australian continent? The world has experienced its 8th warmest year on record, with the USA experiencing its WARMEST year, by a full degree. "Lots of droughts happen!" Well, this present drought, brought us some of the highest temps, PLUS some of the lowest precip, which, combined, made this summer worse than the Dustbowl of the 1930s. (Thanks to big FDR Ag policies, we today don't see the dust they saw in the 1930's - just like today's "food stamps" have lessened the obvious danger of today's depression). And the drought of 2012 followed on the heals of other droughts in TX, AZ, the NE, Cal, Col., etc. Temperatures were above normal in every month between June 2011 and September 2012, a 16-month stretch. It has been something like 320 days since Chicago has seen one day with over 1" of snow. Lake Michigan is at its lowest level ever recorded - and the Chicago River may try to reverse and dump both sewage and Asian Carp into that lake. The Mississippi River near Thebes and Cairo is in serious threat of becoming too dry, i.e., too low, for river barges to pass through. Everything is drying up, birds and god-knows-what are falling from the sky, Polar Bears indeed have to swim 100 miles for food, there are more and more sinkholes and methane rising from the seas and land and permafrost, KATRINA, SANDY... and when the far-right finally gets a clue in their heads about all this: THEY BLAME IT ON THE GAYS or some damn thing. Until they switch into blame mode, it is we people who actually THINK who are the conspiracy theorists and conspirators, fabricating scenaria and mongering fear cuz we are desperate to control and tax them, when we just want them to shut the hell up and stop drilling for oil! ha ha... no but really I love Alex Jones like a sad little torn Teddy Bear... I listen to him like I listen to the train tracks... woohoo!
eek - bleh!

Boomers go Bust

I don't just say that we're headed towards worse economic times based on silly things like:

1 - QE infinity - endless money-printing + borrowing = inflation, (& taxes on jobless proles), leading to a spiral of global currency wars to attract imaginary buyers of exports.

2 - People's THINKING simply hasn't changed yet, as reflected in the stasis in the government, in the failure to punish banksters, in Obama/Europe's cow-towing to banksters, etc. Because of Euro Central Banks' MONEY MORALISM, there will be yet more austerity and riots and suffering throughout Europe - (and North Africa).

3 - The coming derivatives crisis, demanding more-but-impossible government bailouts, and leading to bank runs and pension raids, and personal loss of wealth...

No. These things are very probably GOING to happen not simply because they are possibilities, and anything that CAN go wrong WILL go wrong - and people will try ANYTHING, before they make, "the right decision," (should they be left with that luxury)...

No. These things - at least one of them - SHALL happen, because they are PUSHED by even bigger forces, such as:

1 - The nature of corrupting capitalism, (which encourages addictive greed), i.e., economic DYSFUNCTIONALISM. Leading to anti-economic STATISM, (and/or war). (Without CRONY, PONZI, Monopoly Capitalism, true Capitalism is still just a theory, it seems).

2 - The geometrically spiralling in-turning ENTROPY upon the global economic "system," including GLOBAL WARMING, RISING POPULATIONS' DEPLETIONS OF RESOURCES, and rising externalised secondary costs by weakly-regulated mega-corps privatising the global Commons.

3 - The relatively diminishing availability of oil, temporarilly slowed by our sudden glut of methane, yay... The back-and-forth boom-and-bust, high-demand / low supply / low demand, in oil and oil futures, upon which the ease of the entire economy depends, or is halted, (and which is more and more involved in big-money speculation bubbles), is as much to blame for the fits and starts in our economy as the DEMOGRAPHIC factors, as described in the link below.

4 - DEMOGRAPHICS. (This might also include repetitions of historical cycles, as in, "The Fourth Turning"). I love the study of demographics in economics, although I am more of a two-bit expert in the psychological side of things. But things like real entropy, real global warming, real mechanics of capitalism - and real DEMOGRAPHICS - are forces that can't much be argued. They happen. They have effects. You can't have much of an economy if there is a drought preventing food from being grown, even though this will create a temporary bubble on Wall Street. SO - here's an economic forecaster who bases most of his science upon DEMOGRAPHICS.

HARRY DENT: The US Has Gone Over The 'Demographic Cliff' And Markets Will Crash This Summer

5 - Other forces are: Institutions in the politics of world econs. Trade networks and "standard value grids" (my term). Bureaucratic inertia. Risky bank speculation instead of loaning to progressive invention and investment. This is where THE SALVATION OF AMAZING NEW TECH IS SUPPOSED TO STEP IN AND SAVE US. (Keep your crosses fingered).

6 - Permanent War Economy, (Melman). (Military-Industrial-Technocratic Establishment, Eisenhower). At home, this means the anti-economic, "NATIONAL SECURITY STATE." Thought for today: "Pallets of shrink-wrapped $100 bills which could be seen from space, disappearing in C-120s." This was once a conspiracy theory.