where hypotheses come to die (madman101) wrote,
where hypotheses come to die
madman101

Bubbles in the Spin Cycle.

("At least I'll get my Washing-ton" - http://genius.com/The-who-substitute-lyrics).

The Fate Of Empires and Search for Survival - by John Bagot Glubb:

1. The age of outburst (or pioneers).
2. The age of conquests.
3. The age of commerce.
4. The age of affluence.
5. The age of intellect.
6. The age of decadence.
7. The age of decline and collapse.

Key Quote: “The simplest statistics prove the steady rotation of one nation after another at regular intervals“.

Executive Summary: Glubb notes an eerie pattern emerging when it comes to the durability of human empires: From the Assyrian Empire (859 – 612 BC), to the Arabic Empire (634 – 880 AD), to the British Empire (1700 – 1950), each seemed to last roughly 10 generations, or about 250 years. Glubb posits that each empire goes through six predictable phases...... This rise and fall pattern is independent of governmental system (despotism, monarchy, republic, democracy), and the idiosyncratic qualities of the race that begat the empire (African, East Asian, European, Central Asian). This pattern is not affected by the technologies of the time (the wheel, horseback riding, seafaring, gunpowder, electricity, etc) and, while the pattern of the rise of great nations appears to be uniform, the pattern of their breakups is diverse, meaning that while all empires are birthed and live in roughly the same manner, how they die varies greatly. - by Elusive Wapiti on October 25, 2010, The Duncan Trussell Family Hour.

Religious - The Life Cycles of Empires: Lessons for America Today? - http://www.ucg.org/the-good-news/the-life-cycles-of-empires-lessons-for-america-today

Amazon - https://www.amazon.co.uk/Fate-Empires-Search-Survival-Glubb/dp/0851581277
Tags: +, books - 'fate of empires & search for..., economics - cycles, economics - imperialism, economists, glubb - john bagot, music - who
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